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Mniejsza inflacja mniejsze podwyżki. Rynek wycenia bardziej gołębi FED.

Wczorajsze dane dotyczące inflacji zaskoczyły oczekiwania rynku. Inflacja pierwszy raz od długiego czasu pokazała spadek. Warto zwrócić uwagę na to, że inflacja bazowa nie drgnęła i nie pokazała żadnego spadku. Mniejsze ceny ropy, gorsze dane PMI oraz mniejsza sprzedaż detaliczna przycyzniły się do słabszego konsumenta i nieco lepszej inflacji. Choć do posiedzenia FED jeszcze bardzo daleko i bankierzy stoją twardo na stanowisku, że dalsze podwyżki są nieuniknione, inwestorzy zmienili swoje oczekiwania na wrzesień i obecnie wyceniają mniejszą podwyżkę (50 pb).

Piątkowe dane z rynku pracy i mniejsza inflacja zostały wczoraj odebrane pozytywnie. Dziś w kalendarzu poznamy kolejną porcję danych o zatrudnieniu (nowe deklaracje i zasiłki) oraz inflację producentów.

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