Dziś posiedzenie Rady Polityki Pieniężnej. Większość rynku spodziewa sę podwyżki o 100 punktów bazowych (1%). Na analizie poruszyliśmy dwie kwestie, które mogą poprzeć tą tezę (potencjalnej podwyżki) oraz argumenty za tym, że do podwyżki może nie dojść. Wiele banków centralnych w obliczu wielkich cen energii oraz wojny między Rosją a Ukrainą planuje wstrzymani się z podnoszeniem stóp procentowych, by nie doprowadzić do recesji. Można powiedziec, że chcą pozwolić inflacji w naturalny (wiadomo, że dłuższy) sposób delikatnie opaść. W Polsce jesteśmy już po serii solidnych podwyżek oraz dwóch interwencjach walutowych. Kurs złotego jest na historycznych szczytach w kontekście jego deprecjacji (osłabienia) praktycznie wobec wszystkich walut głównych.
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